Wednesday, October 31, 2012

RBI Hikes provisioning for restructured assets

In a move that could hit the bottom lines of banks, Reserve Bank of India (RBI), during its Second Quarter Review of the Monetary Policy 2012-13’, sharply hiked the provisioning for restructured assets to 2.75 per cent as against the earlier 2 per cent. Keeping in view the larger objectives of financial stability and in line with international best practices, RBI, to ensure that banks have sufficient provisioning buffer, raised the provision for restructured standard accounts. Further, detailed guidelines on the same shall be issued shortly by the Apex Bank. 

In light of the working group report on restructuring guidelines, the central bank hiked the provisioning for restructured asset.  With a view to contain risks associated with the spiraling restructured loans of Indian banks, especially Public Sector Banks , RBI in September this fiscal appointed a working committee, which recommended the provisioning requirement on standard restructured assets to be hiked to 5% in a phased manner, over a period of two-year. The committee suggested a hike of 3.5% at the end of the first year and 5% in the second year. However, the central bank partially accepting the suggestion increased the provisioning norms to 2.75%.

Meanwhile, the new norm, effective immediately, are expected to impact the banks, especially Public Sector Banks, which have witnessed an unprecedented rise in loan restructuring due to economic stress of their borrowers. In the report, its stands to be highlighted that RBI’s this move is calculated to impact profit before tax (PBT) of Public Sector Banks for the current fiscal by between 1.5% and 4.5%. Further, among the Public Sector Banks, the best positioned is estimated to be SBI, which could see a 1.5% hit in its PBT, the report showed.

Moreover, the central bank also mandated banks to improve their disclosure norms pertaining to their exposure to credit, derivatives and un-hedged foreign currency exposures among themselves and put in place an effective mechanism for information sharing by end- December 2012.

Sell Nifty

Nifty (Close 5619.70) : Sell below 5609 with stop loss of 5593 for target of 5510 and 5432

Sell Bank Nifty

Bank Nifty (Close 11268.80) : Sell below 11228 with stop loss of 11330 for target of 10770.

Buy Tata Motors


Tata Motors (Close 254.75) : Buy above 252.60 with stop loss of 249.90 for target of 257.50, 260 and 265.

Buy HDIL


HDIL (Close 95.95) : Buy above 94.65 with stop loss of 92.90 for target of 99.50 & 102.50.

Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Buy Dish TV


Dish TV India (Close 74.30) : Buy above 73.60 with stop loss of 72.40 for target price of 76.40 and  78.20.

RBI keeps Policy Rate unchanged, CRR cut by 25bps

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has come out with its Second-Quarter Monetary Policy review,  albeit the policy stance for this meet is in line with our as well as general consensus. Again, RBI kept Policy Rate unchanged and cut CRR by 25bps.  The following are the policy measures;

Repo Rate
Retained Repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) unchanged at 8.0 per cent.

Reverse Repo Rate
The reverse repo rate under the LAF, determined with a spread of 100 basis points below the repo rate, stands at 7.0 per cent.

Marginal Standing Facility (MSF) Rate
The MSF rate, determined with a spread of 100 basis points above the repo rate, stands at 9.0 per cent. 

Bank Rate
The Bank Rate stands at 9.0 per cent. 

Cash Reserve Ratio
The cash reserve ratio (CRR) of scheduled banks has been reduced by 25bps to 4.25 per cent of their net demand and time liabilities (NDTL). 

Inflation Projection
The baseline projection for headline WPI inflation for March 2013 is raised to 7.5 per cent from 7.0 per cent indicated in July.

GDP Projection
The baseline projection of GDP growth for 2012-13 is revised downwards to 5.8 per cent from 6.5 per cent. 

 Guidance
The reduction in the CRR is intended to pre-empt a prospective tightening of liquidity conditions, thereby keeping liquidity comfortable to support growth. It anticipates the projected inflation trajectory which indicates a rise in inflation before easing in the last quarter. While risks to this trajectory remain, the baseline scenario suggests a reasonable likelihood of further policy easing in the fourth quarter of 2012-13. The policy guidance will, however, be conditioned by the evolving growth-inflation dynamic.

Saturday, October 27, 2012

Sell Nifty

Nifty (Close 5641.75) : Sell below 5630, for target of 5582 and 5502 with stop loss of 5667.

Friday, October 26, 2012

Muhurat Trading Session for Samavat Year 2069





Muhurat Trading Session timings for Samavat Year 2069  on account of Diwali on Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Pre-open order entry open Time 15:30 hrs
Pre-open order entry close time  15:38 hrs
Normal Market/LPM/RDM/ open time 15:45 hrs
Normal Market/LPM/RDM/ close time 17:00 hrs
Closing Session start 17:10 hrs
Closing Session end 17:20 hrs

Source : NSE Circulars (http://www.nseindia.com/content/circulars/CMTR22083.pdf)

Source : BSE Circulars (http://www.bseindia.com/markets/MarketInfo/DispNewNoticesCirculars.aspx?page=20121106-32)

Thursday, October 25, 2012

Buy Redington India

Redington India (Close 81.00) : Buy above 80.50, with stop loss of 77.50 for target of 88 & 93.

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Sell Infosys

Infosys (Close 2353.10) : Sell below 2330 with strict stop loss of 2362 for target of 2263 and 2190.

Indian Stock exchanges will remain closed on 24.10.2012

Indian Stock exchanges will remain closed  on 24.10.2012 (Wednesday) on account of Dasara.

http://www.nseindia.com/global/content/market_timings_holidays/market_timings_holidays.htm

Monday, October 22, 2012

Investment idea : Aditya Birla Chemicals


Aditya Birla Chemicals (Close 95.80) : Buy only above 96 with stop loss of 92, for target of 135 and 154.

Short term trading idea : MT EDUCARE


MT EDUCARE (Close 102.25) : Buy above 102.50 with stop loss of 100.30 for target of 108 and 115.

Friday, October 19, 2012

Buy LIC Housing Finance





LIC Housing Finance Ltd (Close 247.65) : Stock looks to be oversold. One can buy the stock above 249.50 with stop loss of 243 for target of 263.

Short term trading idea : Renaissance Jewel Ltd

Renaissance Jewel Ltd (Close 60.45): Buy above 59.50 with stop loss of 56.50, for target of 70.

Pick of the Week : Buy Subex

SUBEX (Close 16.95) : Buy above 16.90 with stop loss of 16 for target of 19.90 and 23.

Gitanjali Gems : Update




Investment idea call given on  16.07.2012 to buy Gitanjali Gems, today has hit our target price of 390. Book Profit :) 

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Ril can raise price of gas - GOVT


The government has decided in principle that Reliance Industries (RIL) can raise the price of gas from the Krishna-Godavari (KG) basin.

A recent high-level meeting convened at the Prime Minister's Office decided that RIL can begin negotiations with the petroleum ministry on fresh pricing for the gas currently being sold at $ 4.2 mmBtu

http://www.indianexpress.com/news/govt-decides-in-principle-to-let-reliance-industries-raise-kg-gas-price/1018279/

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Short term trading idea : Sell HDIL

HDIL (Close 102.60) : Sell below 102.50 with stop loss of 104 for target of 98.50 and 95.80.

Sell Bank Nifty at current levels

Bank Nifty (Close 11358.25) : Sell below 11363 with stop loss of 11422 for target of 11176 and  10870.

Index view : Sell Nifty at current levels

Nifty (Close 5660.25) : Sell below 5659 with stop loss of 5687, for target of 5584 and 5495.

Short term trading idea : Sell Axis Bank

Axis Bank (Cmp 1137 ) : Sell below 1132 for target of 1056.

Short term trading idea : Sell Tata Steel

Tatasteel (Cmp 405.50) : Sell at current levels for target of 395 & 385.

Monday, October 15, 2012

Short term trading idea : Buy Siemens

Siemens (Close 698.10) : Buy above 699 with stop loss of 687 for target of 712 and  723.

Saturday, October 13, 2012

Short term trading ideas : Sell Hindalco Industries

Hindalco Industries (Close 118.05) : Sell below 118.40 with stop loss of 119.60 for target of 109.

Pick of the week : Buy Balrampur Chini Mills

Balrampur Chini Mills (Close 68.80) : Buy above 70.50 with stop loss of 68.50 for target of 75.90 & 86.

Friday, October 12, 2012

Short term trading idea : Sell Infosys below 2339

Infosys (Cmp 2418) : If Infosys closes below 2339, one can go short for target of 2213. Keep a watch on this stock.

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Short term trading idea : Sell Dr Reddy

Dr. Reddy (Close 1691.70) :  Stock has formed bearish candlestick pattern, Sell below 1695 with stop loss of 1703 for target of 1676 and 1665.

Support and Resistance for Stock
R1 1700.10 , R2 1737 R3 1797
S1 1677 S2 1640 S3 1603 S4 1580 S5 1543

Tuesday, October 9, 2012

Short term trading idea : Oswal Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd


BINDALAGRO (Oswal Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd) (Close 31.70) : Buy above 32 with stop loss of  29.70 for target of  43.50. (Stock traded only in NSE)

Short term trading idea : KSK Energy Ventures

KSK Energy Ventures (Close 72.05) : Buy with strict stop loss of 66.50 for target 80.90.

Saturday, October 6, 2012

Buy Everonn Education

 
Everonn Education (Close 166.45) : Buy above 166 with stop loss of 156 for short term target of 198.

SELL HDIL & IDFC


HDIL (Close 108.55) : Sell with stop loss of 111 for target of 94.


IDFC (Close 159.10) : Sell with stop loss of 166 for target of 155 and 145.